Madar (Tunis) - Tunisia's government expects economic growth of 3.1% in 2027, compared with 2.7% forecast for 2026, according to the draft 2027 economic budget submitted to the Assembly of the Representatives of the People and the National Council of Regions and Districts, figures from the state news agency TAP reported by Business News on Saturday, October 17.
The document lowers the 2026 growth forecast from an initial 3.3%. The government attributed the revision to weak performance in some sectors, notably phosphates and energy, as well as the lingering effects of climate change and international economic conditions.
Investment is projected to rise to 16.4% of gross domestic product in 2027 from 15.5% in 2026, while foreign direct investment is expected to climb 20% from 4 billion to 4.8 billion dinars. Per capita income is forecast to rise from 15,605.7 to 16,735.9 dinars.
Exports of goods and services are expected to grow by 8%, compared with 7.5% in 2026, while import growth slows from 10% to 7.9%, bringing the trade deficit to 3.7% of GDP from 3.9%.
Inflation is forecast to ease slightly from 5.3% to 5.2%, and unemployment from 14.9% to 14.5%. Among 15- to 24-year-olds, it is projected to fall from 35.4% to 35%, and among university graduates from 26.6% to 25%.
